michael kors black Friday sale One gave undo confidence to projections "for which there is very little evidence," Shapiro noted. IAC now recommends that confidence assessments "should not be used to assign subjective probabilities to illdefined outcomes" because studies have shown that people interpret ratings of how likely something is to occur very differently. Bottom line: Don't say something is "likely" versus, perhaps, "somewhat likely" without offering more words to articulate the difference, particularly within the context of a specific scenario or projected outcome..Oakland took CB Demarcus Van Dyke of Miami with the first of their two thirdround selections. Van Dyke was the fastest corner at the combine, but lacks the strength needed to help support the run. This pick was a bit of a reach at this spot in the draft, but the Raiders love speed and Van Dyke has plenty to spare..
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